Louisiana-Lafayette vs Florida Atlantic 11/13/2010

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Florida Atlantic is a solid favorite with a 63% chance to beat Louisiana-Lafayette. Alfred Morris is projected for 128 rushing yards and a 75% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 37% of simulations where Louisiana-Lafayette wins, Brad McGuire averages 1.81 TD passes vs 1.06 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1 TDs to 1.43 interceptions. Aaron Spikes averages 54 rushing yards and 0.65 rushing TDs when Louisiana-Lafayette wins and 48 yards and 0.35 TDs in losses. Florida Atlantic has a 45% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 75% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is FLATL -6

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